U.
S. Department of Energy Plans
The
Administration's National Energy Plan encourages research and
development efforts on next-generation energy technology. Energy
Secretary Spencer Abraham has described the Administration's
goal as making CHP technology the "preferred system
for commercial buildings by 2020." Many of these technologies
and systems are in use and commercially available today.
The
CHP Industry Roadmap has itself created "Roadmap" to
attain a goal of doubling the amount of installed capacity CHP
in the United States by the year 2015. Utilizing 1999 as the
base year this translates to 47,000 MW of new CHP capacity that
is to be installed by 2015.
The
Department of Energy, through Oak Ridge National Laboratory (ORNL),
established the first Cooling, Heating, and Power (CHP) for Buildings
Regional Application Center in April of 2001.
Besides
providing information and resources through the RACs, DOE is
working to advance CHP through development of packaged integrated
energy systems. In June 2001, Secretary Abraham announced the "First
Generation" Packaged Cooling, Heating and Power Systems
for Buildings awards. Contracts of $18.5 million were negotiated
with seven industry teams for research, development and testing
of new, first generation packaged CHP systems for commercial
and institutional buildings. Modular or packaged CHP systems
for buildings will be a breakthrough in CHP. For better interoperability
and marketability, CHP component manufacturers are creating CHP
systems that physically fit the generation and heating / cooling
/ dehumidification components together, match power and thermal
loads within the system, and communicate effectively between
internal components and with external energy control devices.
These modular systems will be pre-designed; this will save on
engineering design costs as well as installation cost.
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Program Partners
The
development of new "on-site" and "near-site" distributed
power generation technologies, such as advanced combustion turbines
and reciprocating engines, microturbines, and fuel cells, are opening
up new opportunities not only for improving power reliability for
buildings but also reducing energy costs. Equipment for distributed
generation is commercially available from many U.S. companies,
including, but not limited to, the following:
Combustion (Oil and Gas) Turbines
- General Electric
- Seimens Westinghouse Electric
- Solar Turbine
Micro- and Mini-Turbines
- Capstone Turbines
- DTE Energy Technologies
- Ingersoll Rand
Reciprocating Engines
- Caterpillar
- Kohler
- Waukesha
Opportunities for reducing energy costs for buildings come from
integrating buildings cooling, heating and electrical energy needs
with distributed generation. The CHP systems also improve the economics
of operating humidity management system for controlling indoor
air quality. Thermally-activated equipment (e.g. absorption chillers
and desiccant systems) for cooling, heating, and humidity control
are also commercially available from many U.S. companies, including
the following:
Absorption Chillers
- American Yazaki
- Broad USA
- Carrier Corporation
- Dunham Bush
- Robur Corporation
- The Trane Corporation
Desiccant Systems
- Munters Corporation
- Stultz-ATS
- Semco
- Kathabar
At
present the distributed generation equipment and the thermally-activated
equipment must be customized at each building site . Work is now
in progress, by at least seven teams of US companies, for developing “Ready
to Go" integrated modular packaged systems to reduce total
system cost, improve overall energy efficiency, and reduce operating
and maintenance costs. Producing plug-and-play systems for CHP
systems is critical to reducing the time and effort required to
integrate system components. Click
here for the latest information on the status of various packaged
systems.
Universal interconnection standards for connecting CHP systems
to power grids would greatly simplify installation and maintenance-and
encourage acceptance of the technology by the architectural and
engineering community. Simplified, pre-engineered, skid-mounted
CHP equipment would make building owners responsible only for connecting
power, piping, or ducting. Controls may be connected to a local
network, permitting onsite personnel to operate the equipment directly
from a desktop PC.
A
CHP Integration Test Center has been established at the University
of Maryland, College Park, MD. The objective of the center is
to create a new understanding of how to integrate CHP into buildings.
You are welcome to take
a virtual tour of the test center . Partners in this test center
include the following:
- DOE's Office of Power Technologies
- DOE Office of Distributed Energy Resources (DER)
- DOE CHP Program
- University of Maryland 's Center for Environmental Energy Engineering
- Oak Ridge National Laboratory
- Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
- Brookhaven National Laboratory
- National Renewable Energy Laboratory
- Broad USA
- Goettl Corporation
- ATS
- Kathabar
- Several gas utilities
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Energy
Pricing
The
Energy Information Administration (EIA) predicts that demand
for energy in the commercial sector is going to grow at an average
annual rate of 1.7 percent, reaching 12.2 quadrillion Btu in 2025.
Increasing square footage of commercial floor space, plus increased
electrical consumption per square footage (due to increased use
of computers, office equipment, and telecommunications equipment)
is expected to raise the demand for electricity in the commercial
sector at even a faster rate.
According
to the EIA, in 2002 CHP plants produced 134 billion kWh for their
own use in industrial and commercial processes, such as petroleum
refining and paper manufacturing. CHP is expected to increase
to 210 billion kWh by 2025, as demand for manufactured products
increases.
Natural
Gas Pricing and Availability
Most
CHP generation technologies, such as reciprocating engines, combustion
turbines and microturbines, use natural gas as a primary fuel.
For CHP systems, fuel constitutes the majority of the variable/operating
cost. High natural gas prices, such as those experienced in the
year 2000, as well as the volatility currently being experienced,
could have negative affects on the CHP market development.
According
to the EIA's "Short
Term Energy Outlook - January 2004", the recent
volatility in natural gas spot prices from around $5.00 per million
Btu spiking to almost $8.00, which then fell back to around $5.50
per million Btu as warmer than predicted winter weather eased
the demand (in December 2003) that subsequently allowed storage
to increase slightly. They predict that spot prices well above
$5 per million Btu will remain likely over the next few months.
In 2004, they expect natural gas prices to average just under
$5 per million Btu. In 2005, natural gas spot prices they project
them to fall again to average $4.83 per million Btu assuming
that domestic and imported supply can continue to grow by about
1-1.5% per year.
The
EIA in their long-term outlook, "Annual
Energy Outlook 2004 with Projections to 2025", predicts
that the delivered natural gas price to end-use customers should
drop until 2012. Their predictions show prices for the commercial
sector dropping to about $7 per thousand cubic feet (which includes
distribution costs), and wellhead prices back to about $3.50
(EIA Fig. 86).

Reference: Annual
Energy Outlook 2004 with Projections to 2025, EIA,
dated January 2004
The
EIA projects total domestic natural gas consumption will increase
from 22.6 trillion cubic feet in 2002 to somewhere around 29.1
to 34.2 trillion cubic feet in 2025. Demand by electricity generators
is expected to account for 29 percent of total end-use natural
gas consumption in 2025, as compared with 27 percent in 2002.
While
the EIA predicts that natural gas reserves will be maintained,
increasing initially, their projections differ as to when they
begin to taper off and where they are in 2025 as shown in the figure
below.

Reference: Annual
Energy Outlook 2004 with Projections to 2025, EIA,
January 2004
Electric Pricing and Capacity
The
EIA predicts that the average U.S. electricity prices (based
on total US revenues from sale of electricity divided by total
kWh sold) will decline by 8%, from 7.2¢ per kWh in 2002 to
6.6¢ in 2008, and to remain relatively stable until 2011.
From 2011 they are projected to increase gradually, by 0.3% per
year, to 6.9¢ per kWh in 2025, generally following the trend
of the generation component of electricity price, which currently
makes up 64% of electricity prices. Delivered electricity prices
for residential, commercial, and industrial customers are projected
to fall by 5, 10, and 9%, respectively, from 2002 to 2013 and then
to regain about half of those losses by 2025.

Reference: Annual
Energy Outlook 2004 with Projections to 2025, EIA, January 2004,
Electric Prices
As generators and CHP plant adjust to the evolving structure of
the electricity market, they face slower growth in demand than
in the past. Historically, demand for electricity has been related
to economic growth; that positive relationship is expected to continue,
but the ratio is uncertain.
The
EIA expects the electric demand growth (from increased office
equipment and personal computers, among other equipment) to be
some what offset by slowing growth or reductions in demand for
space heating and cooling, refrigeration, water heating, and lighting.
They expect growth in electricity sales to be held to an average
of 1.8% per year between 2002 and 2025 due to continued saturation
of electric appliances, installation of more efficient equipment,
and the promulgation of higher efficiency standards. Of the 356
GW of new generating capacity predicted to be needed by 2025, the
EIA project nearly 62% to be natural-gas-fired combined-cycle,
combustion turbine, or distributed generation technology.
The
cost of producing electricity is a function of fuel costs, operating
and maintenance costs, and the cost of capital. Fuel cost makes
up most of the operating costs for fossil-fired units. According
to the EIA, falling coal prices have reduced the fuel share of
operating costs for coal-fired plants to about 74% in 2001, whereas
volatile prices and rapidly increasing usage rates raised the
fuel share for natural-gas-fired combined-cycle plants to 90%.
Despite increasing fuel costs, the market share of total generation
met by natural gas is projected to increase from 18% in 2002
to 23% in 2025 due to the greater efficiency of natural gas Units.

Reference:
Annual
Energy Outlook 2004 with Projections to 2025, EIA, January
2004,
Fuel Prices to Electricity Generators
NOTE: All
of the above information was obtained from the Energy
Information Administration website . Unless otherwise noted
the information was obtained form the EIA's Annual Energy Outlook
2004 with Projections to 2025.
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Emissions
Emissions
associated with electric power can be attributed to the source
— power generation — or to the "end-users." CHP
systems help reduce emissions by increasing efficiency in the overall
generation of electric power and energy usage, and by reducing
transmission energy losses by moving the source of generation closer
to the end-user.
Saving
energy by utilizing heat that other would be rejected increases
energy efficiency by reducing the need for the generation of
electricity by central station plants. By increasing energy efficiency
CHP helps prevent "greenhouse" gas emissions
(CO2) and other forms of air pollution. Increasing
energy efficiency is a smart practice that helps the economy,
too, by saving consumers and businesses million of dollars in
energy costs each year.
Carbon
dioxide (CO2) is the key gas responsible for global
warming concerns. The overwhelming share of U.S. and world CO2 emissions
comes from burning fossil fuels, such as coal, oil, and natural
gas. Burning fossil fuel also causes emissions of other greenhouse
gases as well, such as methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide
(N2O).
The Department of Energy has several initiatives in collaboration
with EPA that will help to increase efficiency by improving overall
energy performance in commercial buildings, school systems, local
governments, homes, transportation networks, electricity plants,
and many other areas.
CHP
systems offer great potential for improving the environment;
it can lower CO2 greenhouse gases emissions by 45%
or more. In the September 1997 Scenarios of U.S. Carbon Reductions,
five DOE laboratories examined more than 200 technologies, and
found that the application of three power generation technologies
for CHP applications — advanced turbines, fuel cells, and
integrated combined cycle technologies — accounted for nearly
10% of the projected carbon savings. The next generation of turbines,
fuel cells, and reciprocating engines offers increased efficiency
at reduced size and versatility in the ratio of electric or mechanical
energy to thermal energy. These can be combined with advanced
thermal recovery technologies for the highest possible overall
total energy efficiency and lowest carbon emissions.
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